Technical Analysis most important in trading for intraday and long-term hold we can identify to find what is next movement and get profitable trading in stock and commodity
In the science of Technical Analysis, Volume plays a role which is as important as any other basic indicator. An increase in the volume in conjunction with Stock price moves adds strength and momentum in the direction of the move. It reflects the market’s confidence that the uptrend will continue in force or its pessimism that the downtrend will.
For the market, declining volumes as the market rises are supposed to warn the end of a BULL MARKET.
Likewise, a sharp increase in volumes resulting in Selling Climax signals the end of a BEAR MARKET.
An increase in abnormal volume can alert investors to coming price movements, Up or Down before it becomes obvious to the overall market. Therefore, the market axiom “Volumes Precedes Price.”
Historically, the majority of BULL MARKETS have originated with at least two days within the two-month period where upside volume is at least nine times greater than the downside volume. Investors who track volume and spot the two-day Exceptional Upside Indicator can out-maneuver other investors and earn excess returns by positioning themselves for the coming Bull Market.
Basic Volume theory includes the following maxims:
* Increasing Volume with an advance is Bullish
* Decreasing Volume with a decline is Bullish
* Increasing Volume with a decline is Bearish
* Decreasing Volume with an advance is Bearish
* A Market Top is imminent when heavy volumes occur with little or No Gain in the averages.
* Heavy Volume confirms the direction of price breakouts from a Support or Resistance Zones.
* An increase on heavy volumes after a previous substantial rally signals a “Blow Off” with an impending top and
* Heavy Volumes accompanied by an accelerating drop in prices confirms a “Selling Climax” and impending price
reversal after the panic selling subsides.
* Low volume periods after upward price reversals reflect a Consolidation Phase before the resumption of the Upward
The Daily Volume Indicator measures extremes in the Supply/ Demand relationship. If a Stock closes at the midpoint of its trading range for the day, the indicator reflects no change. Closing Price above or below the trading range midpoint show an increase or decrease in the Daily Volume Indicator, respectively.
In constructing the Daily Volume Indicators, Technical Analysts take into account the day’s volume, closing price, Distance between closing Price and the midpoint, and the Trading Range.
These are just the basic characteristics of the Volumes, these must be read in conjunction with other commonly used indicators before drawing up any conclusion.